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Foreclosure Crisis Deepens As Unemployment Rise

Published on: Thu, Jul 16, 2009

Classified as: Mortgage, News

Increased unemployment is becoming the major cause of foreclosures. Obama Administration’s plans to keep people in their homes are shattering at their best. shattering with them are the dreams and hopes of millions  who want to see an  end to housing crisis and rebound  of nation’s failed economy. GraphicsTemplate

Experience tells us, that in past few recessions, it was the real-estate sector that triggered all the right area’s of economy to stimulate it back to normal. real-estate industry helped in increasing production, creating jobs and spreading wealth. In all the previous recessions, investors jumped in at right time to take advantage of lower prices but no such miracle is happening this time around.

Even the consumers with good credit standing, who got themselves locked into fixed rate mortgages ,are finding it difficult to make their mortgage payments as things have changed for them. most of them are jobless now. Foreclosures are likely to increase in numbers and home prices will go down even more.

This will give birth to a crisis, magnitude of which is yet to be forecasted. The start of this economic crisis saw a wave of foreclosures related to sub-prime end of market. Mortgages issued to people with little or no credit during real-estate boom. That crisis is over. It is replaced by even worst foreclosure crisis. It consist of more traditional foreclosures that one sees when recessions are at their peak.

The initial surge in foreclosures in 2007 and 2008 was tied to subprime mortgages issued during the housing boom to people with shaky credit. That crisis has ebbed, but it has been replaced by more traditional foreclosures tied to the recession.

With unemployment figures to stay above 10 percent for rest of this year and well into second quarter of next year. We can fairly assume we are back in early 1980’s. With one difference of course, The rate of foreclosures was 1/4th of what it is at present. Housing is what helped economy back to it’s feet and recession ended.  This time, real-estate market is a drag on economy.

If history repeats itself, then these times are an exception. the housing market is so saturated with unsold inventories that people are selling their most prized assets well below market value as they are in middle of a foreclosure or are threatened by one.

One can fairly assume from current circumstances that mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures won’t return to normal levels before 2012 – 2013.

People simply don’t have enough cash to pay back the debt and mortgages they have accumulated. The Percentages of Mortgages gone sour is over 13 percent. They only time it was higher than that was during The Great Depression.

The value of houses have gone down so much that it has eroded the equity in most cases. This leads to a complex situation as people can’t refinance their homes as they already owe banks far more than the net worth of their properties.

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